Romulus vs Newcastle Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
36.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romulus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
LOU
1 - 2
ROM
43%
23%
34%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2014 |
ROM
2 - 1
COA
41%
23%
36%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
SPA
1 - 0
ROM
55%
21%
24%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
ROM
4 - 0
CAR
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2014 |
ROM
2 - 0
MIC
16%
20%
64%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +4 |
Matches
Newcastle Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
NEW
7 - 1
BRI
83%
12%
5%
|
39 | 13 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
NEW
2 - 3
STO
78%
14%
7%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
LOU
0 - 4
NEW
37%
23%
40%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
CAR
3 - 2
NEW
22%
23%
55%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
NEW
4 - 1
RAI
80%
14%
6%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | -1 |