Romulus vs Chasetown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
38.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romulus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
KID
2 - 1
ROM
37%
25%
39%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
ROM
1 - 0
CAR
46%
24%
30%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
RAI
0 - 0
ROM
26%
25%
49%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
ROM
3 - 2
GRE
36%
24%
40%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
MIC
2 - 1
ROM
72%
16%
11%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Chasetown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
CHA
0 - 0
RAI
73%
17%
10%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SHE
2 - 1
CHA
34%
24%
42%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
CHA
1 - 0
KID
63%
20%
17%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 2
CHA
37%
25%
38%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
CHA
4 - 0
SCA
39%
23%
37%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |