Roma vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
9.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
ROM
2 - 0
CAG
72%
17%
11%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2006 |
TOR
1 - 2
ROM
17%
24%
59%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
ROM
4 - 0
PAL
66%
21%
13%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
LAZ
3 - 0
ROM
36%
26%
38%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2006 |
ROM
1 - 0
VCF
47%
24%
29%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
PAR
1 - 3
LAZ
34%
26%
40%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2006 |
MES
1 - 1
PAR
38%
26%
36%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
PAR
2 - 2
CHI
51%
25%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2006 |
PAR
0 - 3
OSA
37%
26%
37%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
CAG
0 - 0
PAR
40%
27%
34%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |