Serie A Round 11

Roma vs Palermo FC analysis

Roma Palermo FC
86 ELO 81
16.3% Tilt 18.1%
18º General ELO ranking 296º
Country ELO ranking 28º
ELO win probability
67.8%
Roma
18.7%
Draw
13.5%
Palermo FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.8%
Win probability
Roma
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.5%
Win probability
Palermo FC
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Roma
+5%
+6%
Palermo FC

ELO progression

Roma
Palermo FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Roma
Roma
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Oct. 2012
PAR
Parma
3 - 2
Roma
ROM
34%
25%
41%
86 83 3 0
28 Oct. 2012
ROM
Roma
2 - 3
Udinese
UDI
57%
22%
21%
86 85 1 0
21 Oct. 2012
GEN
Genoa
2 - 4
Roma
ROM
33%
24%
43%
86 80 6 0
07 Oct. 2012
ROM
Roma
2 - 0
Atalanta
ATL
72%
17%
11%
86 80 6 0
29 Sep. 2012
JUV
Juventus
4 - 1
Roma
ROM
61%
21%
18%
86 90 4 0

Matches

Palermo FC
Palermo FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Oct. 2012
PAL
Palermo FC
2 - 2
Milan
ACM
30%
25%
45%
81 89 8 0
27 Oct. 2012
SIE
Siena
0 - 0
Palermo FC
PAL
45%
26%
29%
81 81 0 0
21 Oct. 2012
PAL
Palermo FC
0 - 0
Torino
TOR
69%
19%
12%
81 77 4 0
06 Oct. 2012
GEN
Genoa
1 - 1
Palermo FC
PAL
51%
24%
25%
81 80 1 0
30 Sep. 2012
PAL
Palermo FC
4 - 1
Chievo
CHI
59%
22%
19%
81 81 0 0