Roma vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
51%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
RMA
0 - 0
ROM
90%
8%
3%
|
87 | 96 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
ROM
1 - 2
PAL
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2015 |
LAZ
1 - 2
ROM
54%
24%
22%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ROM
2 - 1
UDI
65%
20%
15%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
ACM
2 - 1
ROM
51%
25%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2015 |
MCI
0 - 1
MAC
8%
16%
77%
|
92 | 70 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2015 |
TOR
0 - 1
MAC
7%
15%
78%
|
92 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
MAC
2 - 0
SOU
79%
14%
7%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
SWA
2 - 4
MAC
16%
22%
62%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
MAC
6 - 0
QPR
86%
10%
4%
|
92 | 73 | 19 | 0 |