Roma vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
10.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1989 |
ACM
1 - 0
ROM
64%
22%
15%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1989 |
ROM
1 - 1
NAP
37%
30%
34%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1989 |
INT
3 - 0
ROM
64%
22%
15%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1989 |
ROM
1 - 0
CES
73%
18%
9%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
BAR
1 - 2
ROM
27%
29%
44%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1989 |
LEC
1 - 1
BAR
59%
25%
16%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1989 |
LEC
1 - 0
FIO
39%
29%
32%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1989 |
VER
0 - 0
LEC
57%
26%
18%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1989 |
LEC
1 - 0
UDI
57%
25%
18%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1989 |
LAZ
3 - 0
LEC
50%
27%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |