Serie A Round 31

Roma vs Lazio analysis

Roma Lazio
87 ELO 86
18.3% Tilt 18.1%
18º General ELO ranking 17º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
55.6%
Roma
22.2%
Draw
22.2%
Lazio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
Roma
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
22.2%
Win probability
Lazio
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Roma
+6%
-7%
Lazio

ELO progression

Roma
Lazio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Roma
Roma
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Mar. 2013
PAL
Palermo FC
2 - 0
Roma
ROM
28%
23%
49%
87 79 8 0
17 Mar. 2013
ROM
Roma
2 - 0
Parma
PAR
68%
18%
14%
87 82 5 0
09 Mar. 2013
UDI
Udinese
1 - 1
Roma
ROM
35%
25%
40%
87 85 2 0
03 Mar. 2013
ROM
Roma
3 - 1
Genoa
GEN
75%
16%
9%
86 79 7 +1
24 Feb. 2013
ATL
Atalanta
2 - 3
Roma
ROM
24%
24%
52%
86 79 7 0

Matches

Lazio
Lazio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Apr. 2013
FEN
Fenerbahçe
2 - 0
Lazio
LAZ
49%
25%
27%
87 86 1 0
30 Mar. 2013
LAZ
Lazio
2 - 1
Catania
CAT
59%
23%
18%
87 82 5 0
17 Mar. 2013
TOR
Torino
1 - 0
Lazio
LAZ
25%
26%
49%
87 77 10 0
14 Mar. 2013
LAZ
Lazio
3 - 1
Stuttgart
STU
45%
25%
30%
87 86 1 0
10 Mar. 2013
LAZ
Lazio
0 - 2
Fiorentina
FIO
55%
25%
21%
87 85 2 0