Qualif. Champions Final Play-off Final
Global 1-4
Roma vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
18.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
ROM
4 - 0
UDI
76%
15%
8%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
FCP
1 - 1
ROM
33%
25%
42%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
LAT
0 - 1
ROM
10%
17%
73%
|
89 | 66 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
MON
0 - 2
ROM
15%
20%
65%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2016 |
LIV
1 - 2
ROM
35%
25%
40%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
FCP
1 - 0
EST
63%
22%
15%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
FCP
1 - 1
ROM
33%
25%
42%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 3
FCP
20%
25%
55%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
FCP
1 - 0
VIL
49%
26%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 2
FCP
22%
24%
54%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |