Roma vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
13.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1936 |
TRI
2 - 2
ROM
37%
26%
37%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1936 |
ROM
3 - 1
LAZ
57%
21%
22%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1936 |
INT
2 - 1
ROM
67%
17%
16%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1936 |
ROM
1 - 0
USA
66%
19%
15%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1936 |
TOR
2 - 0
ROM
51%
22%
27%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1936 |
BAR
0 - 1
SAM
48%
23%
29%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1936 |
NOV
1 - 1
BAR
52%
22%
26%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1936 |
BAR
4 - 0
TRI
46%
24%
29%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1936 |
FIO
1 - 0
BAR
63%
20%
17%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1936 |
BAR
1 - 0
GEN
43%
24%
33%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |