Eerste Divisie . Jor. 18

Roda JC vs Jong PSV analysis

Roda JC Jong PSV
65 ELO 56
7.3% Tilt 14.3%
974º General ELO ranking 2384º
21º Country ELO ranking 41º
ELO win probability
58.7%
Roda JC
21.8%
Draw
19.5%
Jong PSV

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
Roda JC
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
19.5%
Win probability
Jong PSV
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Roda JC
+21%
-7%
Jong PSV

Points and table prediction

Roda JC
Their league position
Jong PSV
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
75
40
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Willem II
79
79
100%
Groningen
75
75
100%
Roda JC
75
75
100%
Dordrecht
69
69
100%
ADO Den Haag
63
63
0%
De Graafschap
63
63
0%
Emmen
57
57
100%
NAC Breda
56
56
0%
MVV Maastricht
56
56
100%
Jong AZ
10º
56
56
10º
0%
Helmond Sport
11º
51
51
11º
100%
VVV Venlo
12º
48
48
12º
100%
Cambuur
13º
47
47
13º
100%
FC Eindhoven
14º
43
43
14º
100%
Jong Ajax
15º
40
40
15º
100%
Jong PSV
16º
40
40
16º
100%
SC Telstar
17º
35
35
17º
100%
TOP Oss
18º
34
34
18º
100%
Den Bosch
19º
33
33
19º
100%
Jong Utrecht
20º
26
26
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Roda JC
Jong PSV
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%

ELO progression

Roda JC
Jong PSV
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Roda JC
Roda JC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Dec. 2023
FCD
Dordrecht
2 - 0
Roda JC
RJC
31%
25%
45%
66 59 7 0
26 Nov. 2023
RJC
Roda JC
1 - 0
MVV Maastricht
MVV
61%
21%
18%
65 56 9 +1
19 Nov. 2023
BVO
Cambuur
1 - 1
Roda JC
RJC
50%
24%
27%
65 66 1 0
12 Nov. 2023
RJC
Roda JC
0 - 0
Groningen
GRO
47%
24%
29%
64 63 1 +1
06 Nov. 2023
EIN
FC Eindhoven
1 - 1
Roda JC
RJC
46%
25%
29%
64 66 2 0

Matches

Jong PSV
Jong PSV
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Dec. 2023
PSV
Jong PSV
0 - 5
NAC Breda
NAC
22%
22%
56%
58 68 10 0
01 Dec. 2023
JUT
Jong Utrecht
0 - 0
Jong PSV
PSV
26%
24%
51%
57 52 5 +1
27 Nov. 2023
FCE
Emmen
1 - 0
Jong PSV
PSV
62%
21%
17%
57 70 13 0
24 Nov. 2023
PSV
Jong PSV
1 - 2
Jong AZ
ALK
37%
25%
38%
58 62 4 -1
10 Nov. 2023
FCD
Dordrecht
1 - 4
Jong PSV
PSV
50%
23%
27%
56 59 3 +2
X