Roda JC vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
40%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
RJC
1 - 1
TWE
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2018 |
KVK
2 - 5
RJC
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 2017 |
FEY
5 - 1
RJC
73%
18%
10%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2017 |
VVS
0 - 1
RJC
14%
19%
67%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
RJC
0 - 1
VVV
29%
27%
44%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
SPA
2 - 3
EXC
42%
26%
33%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
HOF
2 - 2
EXC
77%
16%
8%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
EXC
0 - 0
TWE
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
EXC
2 - 0
GRO
31%
24%
45%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2017 |
AJA
3 - 1
EXC
76%
15%
8%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |