J2 League Round 38

Roasso Kumamoto vs Machida Zelvia analysis

Roasso Kumamoto Machida Zelvia
60 ELO 53
-3.4% Tilt -8.3%
1960º General ELO ranking 402º
38º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
55.2%
Roasso Kumamoto
23.9%
Draw
21%
Machida Zelvia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
Roasso Kumamoto
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21%
Win probability
Machida Zelvia
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Roasso Kumamoto
-12%
+18%
Machida Zelvia

ELO progression

Roasso Kumamoto
Machida Zelvia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Roasso Kumamoto
Roasso Kumamoto
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Oct. 2012
VEG
Vegalta Sendai
1 - 2
Roasso Kumamoto
ROA
77%
16%
7%
58 80 22 0
07 Oct. 2012
MON
Montedio Yamagata
0 - 2
Roasso Kumamoto
ROA
54%
26%
20%
57 61 4 +1
01 Oct. 2012
SHO
Shonan Bellmare
1 - 2
Roasso Kumamoto
ROA
67%
20%
12%
56 64 8 +1
23 Sep. 2012
ROA
Roasso Kumamoto
3 - 1
Avispa Fukuoka
AVI
43%
25%
32%
55 54 1 +1
17 Sep. 2012
ROA
Roasso Kumamoto
2 - 1
Oita Trinita
OIT
28%
27%
45%
54 63 9 +1

Matches

Machida Zelvia
Machida Zelvia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Oct. 2012
FCI
Imabari
2 - 5
Machida Zelvia
MAC
39%
24%
37%
53 50 3 0
07 Oct. 2012
TOK
Tokyo Verdy
1 - 1
Machida Zelvia
MAC
72%
18%
10%
52 64 12 +1
30 Sep. 2012
MAC
Machida Zelvia
1 - 3
Oita Trinita
OIT
29%
27%
44%
53 61 8 -1
23 Sep. 2012
MAC
Machida Zelvia
3 - 2
Kataller Toyama
KAT
54%
25%
21%
53 51 2 0
17 Sep. 2012
AVI
Avispa Fukuoka
1 - 1
Machida Zelvia
MAC
56%
23%
21%
52 54 2 +1