Primera RFEF Grupo 2 round 19

RM Castilla vs UD Ibiza analysis

RM Castilla UD Ibiza
66 ELO 70
9.6% Tilt 6.1%
1538º General ELO ranking 1565º
55º Country ELO ranking 56º
ELO win probability
43.3%
RM Castilla
26.5%
Draw
30.2%
UD Ibiza

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
RM Castilla
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
30.2%
Win probability
UD Ibiza
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
RM Castilla
+21%
+9%
UD Ibiza

Points and table prediction

RM Castilla
Their league position
UD Ibiza
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
14º
10º
68
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
CD Castellón
82
82
100%
Córdoba CF
77
77
100%
Málaga
70
70
100%
UD Ibiza
68
68
100%
AD Ceuta FC
62
62
100%
Recreativo
61
61
100%
Real Murcia
58
58
100%
Antequera CF
56
56
100%
Atlético B
53
53
100%
RM Castilla
10º
51
51
10º
0%
Alcoyano
11º
51
51
11º
0%
AD Mérida
12º
47
47
12º
100%
Algeciras CF
13º
46
46
13º
100%
At. Sanluqueño
14º
45
45
14º
0%
CF Intercity
15º
45
45
15º
0%
San Fernando CD
16º
42
42
16º
100%
Linares Deportivo
17º
39
39
17º
100%
UD Melilla
18º
34
34
18º
100%
Atlético Baleares
19º
29
29
19º
100%
Recreativo Granada
20º
27
27
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
RM Castilla
UD Ibiza
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

RM Castilla
UD Ibiza
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

RM Castilla
RM Castilla
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Jan. 2024
CCF
Córdoba CF
1 - 2
RM Castilla
RMC
50%
24%
27%
66 66 0 0
16 Dec. 2023
RMC
RM Castilla
3 - 3
CF Intercity
INT
60%
23%
17%
66 61 5 0
09 Dec. 2023
GRA
Recreativo Granada
1 - 1
RM Castilla
RMC
13%
22%
65%
66 51 15 0
03 Dec. 2023
RMC
RM Castilla
2 - 1
San Fernando CD
SAN
61%
22%
17%
65 58 7 +1
25 Nov. 2023
ALC
Alcoyano
0 - 0
RM Castilla
RMC
24%
26%
51%
65 58 7 0

Matches

UD Ibiza
UD Ibiza
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Jan. 2024
IBI
UD Ibiza
3 - 2
San Fernando CD
SAN
73%
18%
10%
69 57 12 0
17 Dec. 2023
IBI
UD Ibiza
3 - 0
Antequera CF
ANT
71%
19%
11%
68 59 9 +1
10 Dec. 2023
ALG
Algeciras CF
0 - 0
UD Ibiza
IBI
27%
28%
46%
68 60 8 0
03 Dec. 2023
CEU
AD Ceuta FC
0 - 1
UD Ibiza
IBI
30%
28%
42%
67 61 6 +1
26 Nov. 2023
IBI
UD Ibiza
2 - 0
CD Castellón
CAS
46%
26%
28%
66 68 2 +1