NPFL . Jor. 5

Rivers United vs Lobi Stars analysis

Rivers United Lobi Stars
72 ELO 66
-5.2% Tilt -16.9%
1066º General ELO ranking 1088º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
55.4%
Rivers United
25.6%
Draw
19%
Lobi Stars

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
Rivers United
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
19%
Win probability
Lobi Stars
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Rivers United
Their league position
Lobi Stars
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
16º
52
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Enugu Rangers
57
67
46.5%
Remo Stars
56
64
26%
Enyimba
53
61
24.5%
Plateau United
50
60
12%
Shooting Stars
52
60
16.5%
Lobi Stars
52
60
9%
Katsina United
48
56
22.5%
Bendel Insurance
45
53
15%
Rivers United
11º
41
52
16%
Kano Pillars
44
52
10º
14%
Abia Warriors
14º
41
52
11º
9.5%
Niger Tornadoes
10º
42
50
12º
16%
Bayelsa United
16º
39
49
13º
13.5%
Kwara United
13º
41
49
14º
11%
Sunshine Stars
17º
39
47
15º
15.5%
Akwa United
18º
37
45
16º
15%
Sporting Lagos FC
12º
41
45
17º
30.5%
Doma United FC
15º
40
44
18º
32.5%
Heartland Owerri
19º
29
37
19º
46.5%
Gombe United
20º
25
36
20º
51.5%
Expected probabilities
Rivers United
Lobi Stars
CAF Champions League
0.5% 15.5%
CAF Confederation Cup
2.5% 47.5%
Mid-table
94.5% 37%
Relegation
2.5% 0%

ELO progression

Rivers United
Lobi Stars
Akwa United
Niger Tornadoes
Abia Warriors
Sporting Lagos FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Rivers United
Rivers United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Oct. 2023
KAN
Kano Pillars
1 - 0
Rivers United
RIV
44%
29%
27%
71 71 0 0
15 Oct. 2023
RIV
Rivers United
0 - 0
Kwara United
KWA
61%
23%
16%
72 64 8 -1
12 Oct. 2023
RIV
Rivers United
2 - 0
Remo Stars
REM
47%
27%
26%
72 72 0 0
08 Oct. 2023
NIG
Niger Tornadoes
1 - 0
Rivers United
RIV
27%
31%
43%
72 63 9 0
11 Jun. 2023
ENY
Enyimba
1 - 1
Rivers United
RIV
49%
27%
24%
71 71 0 +1

Matches

Lobi Stars
Lobi Stars
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Oct. 2023
LOB
Lobi Stars
2 - 0
Abia Warriors
ABI
42%
27%
31%
66 68 2 0
14 Oct. 2023
KAT
Katsina United
0 - 0
Lobi Stars
LOB
40%
28%
32%
66 61 5 0
08 Oct. 2023
LOB
Lobi Stars
3 - 2
Sunshine Stars
SUN
46%
28%
26%
65 67 2 +1
30 Sep. 2023
HEA
Heartland Owerri
2 - 2
Lobi Stars
LOB
35%
30%
35%
65 60 5 0
11 Jun. 2023
SUN
Sunshine Stars
3 - 1
Lobi Stars
LOB
42%
30%
28%
65 65 0 0
X