River Plate Montevideo vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
29.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
JUN
0 - 2
RIV
23%
25%
51%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
RIV
3 - 0
UCO
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 2
MWA
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
UCO
0 - 1
RIV
49%
23%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ATE
1 - 3
RIV
28%
26%
46%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 2
ETS
74%
17%
9%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
SUD
0 - 1
NAC
18%
24%
58%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
NAC
5 - 2
DEF
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
DEP
3 - 0
NAC
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
FEN
1 - 4
NAC
30%
25%
45%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |