River Plate Montevideo vs Danubio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
24.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
6º
15º
9º
13
1º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 36 |
1º
|
73% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 32 |
2º
|
51.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 31 |
3º
|
48.5% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 26 |
4º
|
32% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 25 |
5º
|
32.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 22 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 22 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 19 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
12 | 19 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
13 | 17 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 16 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 15 |
12º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 13 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 12 |
14º
|
26% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 11 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 8 |
16º
|
75% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
RIV
3 - 1
DEP
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 1
RIV
52%
25%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
MWA
0 - 4
RIV
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
LFC
2 - 1
RIV
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
RIV
1 - 2
TOR
52%
24%
23%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Danubio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
BOS
0 - 0
DAN
46%
26%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
LUZ
0 - 1
DAN
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FEN
1 - 2
DAN
37%
28%
35%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
DEF
0 - 2
DAN
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
DAN
2 - 1
LUZ
40%
28%
32%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |