Primera A 2 Phase Fase 2. Jor. 11

Guayaquil City vs Mushuc Runa analysis

Guayaquil City Mushuc Runa
71 ELO 69
3.6% Tilt -5.2%
1178º General ELO ranking 775º
18º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
42.7%
Guayaquil City
26.7%
Draw
30.6%
Mushuc Runa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
Guayaquil City
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
30.6%
Win probability
Mushuc Runa
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Guayaquil City
-18%
-10%
Mushuc Runa

ELO progression

Guayaquil City
Mushuc Runa
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Guayaquil City
Guayaquil City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Sep. 2022
CFC
Cumbayá
3 - 0
Guayaquil City
RIV
34%
29%
37%
70 63 7 0
03 Sep. 2022
RIV
Guayaquil City
1 - 1
9 de Octubre
OCT
39%
27%
34%
70 73 3 0
28 Aug. 2022
AUC
Aucas
2 - 1
Guayaquil City
RIV
65%
21%
15%
70 80 10 0
23 Aug. 2022
RIV
Guayaquil City
0 - 1
Independiente del Valle
IVT
29%
26%
45%
71 80 9 -1
14 Aug. 2022
TEC
Técnico Universitario
3 - 1
Guayaquil City
RIV
42%
27%
30%
71 69 2 0

Matches

Mushuc Runa
Mushuc Runa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Sep. 2022
NAC
CD El Nacional
1 - 0
Mushuc Runa
MUS
50%
23%
27%
71 72 1 0
10 Sep. 2022
MUS
Mushuc Runa
1 - 2
Liga de Quito
LIG
31%
26%
43%
71 80 9 0
04 Sep. 2022
MAC
Macará
3 - 0
Mushuc Runa
MUS
39%
27%
34%
72 71 1 -1
28 Aug. 2022
MUS
Mushuc Runa
2 - 0
Gualaceo
GUA
52%
25%
23%
71 67 4 +1
26 Aug. 2022
MUS
Mushuc Runa
2 - 4
Independiente del Valle
IVT
34%
26%
40%
72 80 8 -1
X