Guayaquil City vs Grecia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2013 |
AUC
2 - 0
RIV
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
RIV
4 - 1
DPT
59%
23%
18%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
FER
1 - 2
RIV
37%
30%
33%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
TEC
2 - 2
RIV
51%
26%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
RIV
1 - 2
IMB
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Grecia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 0
TEC
24%
26%
50%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
IMB
3 - 0
GRE
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
GRE
0 - 1
UTC
41%
27%
33%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
ESP
1 - 0
GRE
57%
22%
20%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
GRE
2 - 0
MUN
38%
28%
35%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |