Club River Plate vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
38.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
GEN
0 - 0
RPA
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
OLI
3 - 1
RPA
73%
17%
10%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
RPA
1 - 2
CCP
25%
26%
49%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
AME
2 - 3
RPA
56%
24%
19%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
RPA
1 - 2
GUA
38%
27%
35%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
NAC
4 - 3
CCP
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
AME
2 - 3
NAC
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 0
GUA
46%
27%
28%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
LIB
0 - 2
NAC
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 0
GUA
30%
27%
43%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |