Club River Plate vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
47.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Club River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
CDL
3 - 0
RPA
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
RPA
3 - 3
SPT
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
SPC
1 - 1
RPA
30%
28%
43%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
RPA
0 - 0
TAC
65%
22%
14%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 2
RPA
35%
27%
37%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2016 |
CCP
0 - 1
SAO
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
CCP
53%
24%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2016 |
BAN
0 - 2
CCP
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2015 |
OLI
2 - 1
CCP
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
AME
2 - 3
CCP
40%
25%
34%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |