River Melilla vs Loja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
7.3%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.7%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
76.9%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.8%
0-3
11.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.8%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
RIV
1 - 5
ALH
6%
14%
80%
|
11 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
PAL
4 - 1
RIV
90%
8%
2%
|
11 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
RIV
0 - 3
MOT
9%
18%
73%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
POL
3 - 0
RIV
86%
10%
4%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
RIV
0 - 2
CDT
9%
17%
74%
|
12 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
LOJ
3 - 2
UDS
66%
18%
16%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
ANT
3 - 0
LOJ
63%
20%
17%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
LOJ
2 - 2
JUV
72%
16%
12%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
ALH
2 - 3
LOJ
52%
22%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
LOJ
1 - 3
PAL
51%
24%
26%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -1 |