Derby City Rovers vs Cincinnati Dutch Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
27.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Derby City Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
NSC
2 - 1
RIV
75%
16%
9%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2017 |
RIV
0 - 0
MIC
12%
18%
70%
|
30 | 61 | 31 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2017 |
RIV
0 - 1
KWU
12%
19%
69%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
CIN
3 - 0
RIV
39%
22%
40%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
RIV
0 - 1
DAY
52%
20%
27%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Cincinnati Dutch Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
STL
3 - 0
CIN
55%
20%
25%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2017 |
CIN
2 - 1
KWU
11%
19%
70%
|
30 | 51 | 21 | +2 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
CIN
3 - 0
RIV
39%
22%
40%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
KWU
5 - 2
CIN
84%
11%
5%
|
28 | 51 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
CIN
0 - 2
MIC
11%
18%
71%
|
29 | 61 | 32 | -1 |