Rio Negro AM vs Peñarol AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
48.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Negro AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
RIO
2 - 2
MAN
26%
21%
53%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
IRA
1 - 1
RIO
41%
22%
37%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
RIO
0 - 2
FAS
44%
25%
32%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
PRI
3 - 0
RIO
47%
24%
29%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
PRI
1 - 0
RIO
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Peñarol AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2019 |
IRA
1 - 2
PEN
23%
20%
57%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
FAS
1 - 0
PEN
36%
24%
40%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 2
PRI
56%
24%
21%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 2
PEN
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
MAN
3 - 0
PEN
44%
24%
32%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -3 |