Rio Grande Valley vs Austin Bold analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
41.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Grande Valley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
OKC
0 - 0
RGV
38%
25%
37%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
AUB
4 - 1
RGV
56%
22%
22%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
RGV
1 - 2
TUL
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
USA
1 - 0
RGV
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2020 |
OKC
1 - 1
RGV
38%
25%
37%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Austin Bold
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2020 |
TUL
2 - 2
AUB
42%
24%
34%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2020 |
USA
1 - 1
AUB
60%
22%
17%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2020 |
AUB
4 - 1
RGV
56%
22%
22%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
AUB
2 - 4
USA
34%
26%
40%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
AUB
1 - 3
OKC
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -1 |