Rio Branco Acre vs São Francisco AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
20.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco Acre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
RIO
1 - 2
MEC
23%
25%
52%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PRI
2 - 0
RIO
58%
23%
19%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
RIO
2 - 2
SCH
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
SAO
3 - 1
RIO
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
RIO
1 - 2
TDC
51%
23%
26%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
São Francisco AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
IND
4 - 1
SFC
64%
18%
17%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
VAS
4 - 1
SFC
30%
20%
50%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
SFC
0 - 1
RIO
16%
19%
65%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 2
GAL
22%
20%
59%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 1
SCH
16%
18%
67%
|
21 | 38 | 17 | +1 |