Rio Branco SP vs São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.1%
Win probability
0.31
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.4%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
0.7%
3-2
0.1%
+1
2.7%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.5%
85.5%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
18.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
24.1%
0-3
15.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
19.1%
0-4
9.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
11.6%
0-5
5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0%
-5
5.7%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2004 |
POR
1 - 0
RIO
60%
21%
19%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
ATL
1 - 2
RIO
53%
23%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
RIO
1 - 0
JUV
42%
25%
34%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
AME
1 - 0
RIO
64%
20%
17%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
COR
2 - 1
RIO
89%
9%
3%
|
51 | 80 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2004 |
SAO
3 - 1
COB
70%
18%
12%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
SAO
3 - 0
ATL
95%
4%
1%
|
86 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
SAO
1 - 0
COR
65%
20%
15%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2004 |
ALI
1 - 2
SAO
28%
25%
47%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
AME
0 - 2
SAO
6%
14%
80%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | +1 |