Rio Branco SP vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
39%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 0
RIO
27%
25%
49%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
RIO
1 - 0
MAR
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2017 |
INT
2 - 0
RIO
38%
26%
36%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
RIO
2 - 2
POR
68%
21%
12%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 4
RIO
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
COM
1 - 0
MON
54%
24%
23%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
COM
0 - 1
SAO
50%
24%
25%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 0
COM
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MAT
1 - 3
COM
24%
25%
51%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
COM
3 - 0
IND
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |