Rio Ave Sub 17 vs Merelinense Sub 17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
9.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
3º
3º
16
3º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
39 | 42 |
1º
|
18% | |
|
1º
|
40 | 41 |
2º
|
24% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 41 |
3º
|
56% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 27 |
5º
|
85% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 26 |
6º
|
85% | |
|
|
7º
|
16 | 19 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
80% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 6 |
9º
|
97% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Ave Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 3
RIO
15%
18%
68%
|
28 | 16 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
RIO
2 - 1
ANA
84%
11%
5%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
FAM
1 - 0
RIO
51%
21%
28%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
RIO
2 - 1
PAÇ
70%
17%
13%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
MER
2 - 2
RIO
20%
19%
61%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Merelinense Sub 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
MER
2 - 4
PAD
19%
19%
62%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
TON
1 - 2
MER
41%
22%
37%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
MER
2 - 4
BOA
18%
19%
64%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MER
2 - 4
FAM
22%
21%
58%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
MER
2 - 2
RIO
20%
19%
61%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | +1 |