HNK Rijeka vs NK Istra 1961 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
49
3º
10º
4º
46
4º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2023 |
SLA
1 - 3
RIJ
22%
25%
54%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
RIJ
2 - 0
LOK
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
HNG
1 - 0
RIJ
29%
25%
46%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
RIJ
2 - 0
HKS
35%
24%
41%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
RIJ
1 - 0
HNS
70%
19%
11%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
NK Istra 1961
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
IST
3 - 0
HNS
49%
28%
23%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
OSI
1 - 0
IST
54%
27%
19%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
IST
0 - 0
DZG
18%
24%
59%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
NKV
0 - 0
IST
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
HKS
2 - 2
IST
77%
16%
7%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | -1 |