Rieti vs Castelfidardo Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
27.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
OLY
0 - 1
RIE
16%
21%
63%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
SEL
1 - 3
RIE
15%
19%
66%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
PIN
2 - 0
RIE
42%
26%
32%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
RIE
3 - 3
SFF
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
RIE
1 - 0
GIU
64%
19%
17%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
REC
39%
26%
35%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 2
CAS
61%
21%
18%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
SEL
0 - 0
CAS
14%
19%
67%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
CAS
3 - 2
VAS
37%
23%
41%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 2
SFF
46%
24%
30%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |