SV Ried vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
40.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Ried
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
RAP
5 - 0
RIE
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
KUF
1 - 4
RIE
7%
14%
79%
|
74 | 35 | 39 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
RIE
0 - 1
BBU
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2016 |
RIE
1 - 2
SCH
81%
14%
5%
|
74 | 43 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
RIE
2 - 1
WAC
74%
17%
8%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
STR
3 - 1
RBS
35%
25%
40%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2016 |
STA
0 - 2
STR
8%
17%
76%
|
80 | 40 | 40 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
STR
0 - 1
MUN
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
AUS
3 - 0
STR
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
STR
1 - 1
MAT
62%
21%
16%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |