Renova vs Vardar Skopje analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
41.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Renova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
VAR
3 - 1
REN
61%
21%
18%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
BRE
2 - 0
REN
39%
27%
35%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
REN
1 - 0
SHK
34%
26%
40%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
PEL
0 - 1
REN
39%
27%
33%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
REN
2 - 2
SIL
56%
24%
21%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vardar Skopje
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
VAR
3 - 1
REN
61%
21%
18%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
VAR
3 - 1
MET
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
HTR
0 - 0
VAR
38%
28%
34%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
VAR
5 - 0
TET
76%
17%
7%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
VAR
1 - 0
BRE
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |