Serie C Playoffs Ascenso Quarter-finals
Global 4-4
Renate vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.5%
55.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Renate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2021 |
REN
1 - 1
MAT
37%
28%
35%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
MAT
1 - 1
REN
54%
25%
22%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
REN
1 - 0
ASL
59%
24%
17%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 0
REN
26%
27%
47%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
REN
2 - 1
JS2
39%
29%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2021 |
PAD
1 - 0
SSS
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 1
PAD
27%
26%
47%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
MOD
3 - 0
PAD
27%
26%
46%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
PAD
1 - 0
ASG
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
TRI
1 - 0
PAD
23%
26%
51%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -1 |