Red Star vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
52.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2018 |
PFC
1 - 1
RED
55%
28%
18%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2018 |
RED
3 - 0
SOC
40%
28%
32%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
AVI
0 - 1
RED
16%
23%
61%
|
54 | 25 | 29 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2018 |
MET
2 - 0
RED
72%
18%
9%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
RED
0 - 3
TRO
25%
26%
49%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
REI
2 - 2
CAE
63%
22%
14%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2018 |
CAE
2 - 1
TFC
22%
27%
51%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
STR
2 - 2
CAE
71%
18%
11%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2018 |
CAE
1 - 2
NÎM
17%
23%
60%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
ANG
1 - 1
CAE
61%
24%
15%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |