Red Star Penzing vs Austria XIII analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
63.7%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
3º
9º
5º
30
9º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 80 |
1º
|
99% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 70 |
2º
|
99% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 48 |
3º
|
37.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 47 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 46 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 46 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 45 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 42 |
8º
|
25.5% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 39 |
9º
|
32.5% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 39 |
10º
|
24.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 38 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
30 | 37 |
12º
|
36.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 33 |
13º
|
55.5% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 23 |
14º
|
71.5% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
66.5% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 17 |
16º
|
90.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Star Penzing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
SCH
0 - 3
RED
83%
11%
6%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
RED
1 - 2
SIM
30%
21%
49%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FCW
1 - 1
RED
81%
12%
8%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
RED
5 - 0
KAG
73%
15%
12%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
RED
2 - 1
SKS
18%
19%
63%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Austria XIII
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
AUS
2 - 0
STA
34%
23%
44%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
WIE
1 - 3
AUS
48%
22%
30%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
AUS
1 - 3
MAN
66%
17%
17%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
BAC
2 - 0
AUS
73%
18%
9%
|
20 | 71 | 51 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
AUS
4 - 4
ANN
11%
18%
71%
|
19 | 39 | 20 | +1 |