Red Arrows vs Zesco United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
27.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
EAG
2 - 2
RED
41%
30%
29%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
NAP
0 - 1
RED
47%
27%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
RED
2 - 1
FOR
44%
28%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
BFC
2 - 0
RED
56%
24%
20%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
RED
0 - 0
NKW
40%
27%
33%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Zesco United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
RNF
0 - 2
ZES
49%
26%
24%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
ZES
2 - 2
SSU
8%
16%
76%
|
41 | 75 | 34 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2017 |
ZES
0 - 3
LUR
57%
23%
20%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
SSU
0 - 0
ZES
87%
11%
2%
|
43 | 75 | 32 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
ZAN
3 - 2
ZES
53%
25%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |