Red Arrows vs Nchanga Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
26.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Red Arrows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 0
RED
52%
27%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
RED
0 - 0
LUD
47%
27%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2016 |
LUT
1 - 1
RED
55%
25%
20%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
ZAN
2 - 0
RED
56%
25%
19%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
RED
0 - 0
KAB
50%
27%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Nchanga Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
NCH
1 - 0
EAG
45%
29%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
NKW
0 - 0
NCH
51%
26%
23%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
NCH
0 - 0
FOR
45%
28%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
LEO
0 - 0
NCH
36%
31%
34%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2016 |
NCH
0 - 2
ZES
45%
28%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |