Recreativo Portuense vs Guadiaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
65.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recreativo Portuense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
UDR
4 - 1
REC
52%
23%
25%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
REC
1 - 0
JER
24%
25%
51%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
BCA
3 - 1
REC
89%
8%
3%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
REC
2 - 4
ARC
15%
20%
65%
|
5 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
XER
3 - 1
REC
80%
13%
7%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Guadiaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
4 - 2
FER
61%
19%
20%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
TRE
0 - 2
GUA
30%
24%
46%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
3 - 3
BAR
54%
21%
25%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ALG
2 - 3
GUA
65%
19%
17%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 2
CDJ
71%
17%
13%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | -1 |