Recanatese vs Castelfidardo Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.4%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
14%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.3%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
4.1%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
MAT
0 - 3
REC
26%
26%
48%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
VAS
0 - 2
REC
20%
25%
55%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
REC
4 - 0
FAN
74%
17%
9%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
ASD
0 - 0
REC
28%
27%
45%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
REC
3 - 0
POR
79%
14%
7%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Castelfidardo Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 1
TRA
22%
24%
54%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
PIN
2 - 1
CAS
57%
24%
19%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
CAS
5 - 1
AAC
82%
13%
6%
|
30 | 11 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
UST
2 - 1
CAS
68%
18%
13%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 0
MON
35%
26%
39%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |