Recanatese vs Tolentino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
16.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
REC
2 - 1
TRA
36%
25%
39%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
REC
1 - 1
PIN
43%
25%
31%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
AAC
0 - 2
REC
8%
16%
76%
|
39 | 12 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
SSS
2 - 4
REC
60%
23%
17%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
REC
2 - 0
MON
70%
17%
13%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tolentino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
POR
1 - 0
UST
58%
20%
22%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
UST
0 - 1
VAS
57%
20%
23%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
SFF
1 - 0
UST
52%
22%
26%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
UST
3 - 0
NER
83%
11%
6%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
TRA
2 - 0
UST
77%
15%
8%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |