Real Zaragoza vs Barcelona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
47.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
ALB
2 - 1
ZAR
31%
28%
42%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
ZAR
1 - 0
MAL
57%
24%
20%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
GET
3 - 0
ZAR
32%
27%
42%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
RMA
3 - 1
ZAR
76%
15%
9%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
ZAR
1 - 0
BET
47%
26%
28%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Barcelona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
FCB
0 - 2
ATM
73%
17%
11%
|
93 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2005 |
SEV
0 - 4
FCB
33%
27%
40%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
FCB
3 - 0
RAC
77%
15%
8%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
FCB
1 - 0
RSO
69%
18%
13%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2005 |
VIL
3 - 0
FCB
27%
27%
46%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |