Real Zaragoza vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
FCB
5 - 2
ZAR
67%
20%
13%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1970 |
ZAR
0 - 0
MAL
70%
19%
12%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1970 |
ZAR
1 - 0
VCF
65%
20%
15%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1970 |
VCF
2 - 0
ZAR
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 1970 |
MUR
1 - 5
ZAR
20%
23%
56%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
ATM
2 - 0
ATH
64%
22%
15%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
ATM
2 - 0
AUS
71%
17%
12%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1970 |
UDL
1 - 1
ATM
42%
28%
31%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1970 |
ATH
2 - 1
ATM
59%
23%
19%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1970 |
ATM
1 - 1
ATH
69%
19%
13%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |