Real Zaragoza vs Almería analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 0
ZAR
68%
19%
12%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2011 |
ZAR
2 - 1
GET
50%
24%
25%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
SEV
3 - 1
ZAR
70%
19%
12%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
MLL
1 - 0
ZAR
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
ZAR
4 - 0
VCF
30%
26%
44%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Almería
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
ALM
0 - 3
VCF
27%
25%
48%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
FCB
3 - 1
ALM
88%
9%
3%
|
83 | 96 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2011 |
ALM
1 - 3
ATH
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 0
ALM
41%
26%
34%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
ALM
2 - 2
ATM
36%
26%
38%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |