Real Unión Club vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
16.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Unión Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
RUN
2 - 0
ZAL
67%
22%
11%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
GER
1 - 1
RUN
26%
28%
47%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 1996 |
BAR
1 - 2
RUN
55%
24%
22%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
RUN
1 - 0
CLU
55%
26%
19%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
UPL
2 - 1
RUN
36%
28%
36%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
BAR
0 - 0
ZAM
72%
18%
11%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
LEM
3 - 1
BAR
46%
28%
27%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 1996 |
BAR
1 - 2
RUN
55%
24%
22%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
BAR
2 - 1
NUM
37%
29%
34%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
AUR
1 - 0
BAR
37%
29%
34%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |