Real Succes vs FC Sheriff II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.4%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
68.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.5%
0-2
14.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
3º
7º
7º
19
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
19 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 15 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 13 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 11 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 9 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
4 | 4 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 0 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Succes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
ISK
3 - 0
REA
84%
11%
5%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
FLA
3 - 2
REA
81%
11%
8%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
REA
1 - 2
FST
22%
21%
57%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
FCO
4 - 1
REA
73%
15%
12%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
REA
3 - 0
DIN
15%
16%
68%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +5 |
Matches
FC Sheriff II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
FCS
9 - 0
FLA
87%
10%
4%
|
65 | 40 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
FST
0 - 1
FCS
14%
23%
63%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
FCS
3 - 1
FCO
86%
10%
4%
|
64 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
DIN
0 - 3
FCS
13%
22%
65%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
FCS
6 - 1
UNG
65%
19%
16%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |