Q. Europa League 3ra Ronda. Final
Global 5-2
Real Sociedad vs Aberdeen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
10.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
NEC
0 - 1
RSO
26%
26%
48%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
FEY
1 - 1
RSO
37%
26%
37%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
AJA
3 - 1
RSO
49%
25%
26%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
TOL
0 - 2
RSO
7%
19%
74%
|
86 | 22 | 64 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
RSO
1 - 2
VIL
57%
23%
20%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
GRO
1 - 2
ABE
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
ABE
0 - 0
GRO
40%
26%
33%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2014 |
FKD
0 - 3
ABE
31%
25%
44%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2014 |
ABE
5 - 0
FKD
51%
26%
24%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
ABE
0 - 1
MHE
43%
28%
30%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |