Real Santa Cruz vs Royal Pari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2020 |
BOL
4 - 0
SAC
82%
12%
5%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
SAC
2 - 1
CMV
32%
28%
40%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
OPE
3 - 2
SAC
47%
26%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2020 |
SAC
1 - 3
JWI
28%
28%
44%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
SAC
0 - 3
REA
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Royal Pari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2020 |
ROY
1 - 0
STR
18%
23%
60%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
BLO
1 - 0
ROY
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
ROY
1 - 0
AUR
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
GUA
4 - 2
ROY
32%
25%
42%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
ROY
4 - 1
NAC
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |