Real Santa Cruz vs Mariscal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
37.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
OPE
3 - 1
SAC
59%
22%
19%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2001 |
SAC
1 - 4
BOL
33%
25%
42%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
RPO
2 - 1
SAC
68%
19%
14%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
SAC
2 - 1
GUA
35%
25%
40%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
JWI
4 - 1
SAC
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Mariscal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2001 |
JWI
2 - 0
MBB
56%
23%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2001 |
MBB
0 - 1
OPE
60%
21%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
BOL
3 - 0
MBB
54%
23%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2001 |
STR
1 - 3
MBB
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2001 |
MBB
1 - 1
RPO
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |