Real Santa Cruz vs Bolívar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
41.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
RPO
2 - 1
SAC
68%
19%
14%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
SAC
2 - 1
GUA
35%
25%
40%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2000 |
JWI
4 - 1
SAC
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
BOL
4 - 0
SAC
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2000 |
SAC
0 - 2
OPE
41%
25%
35%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2001 |
BOL
3 - 0
MBB
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2000 |
OPE
1 - 2
BOL
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2000 |
BOL
4 - 0
SAC
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2000 |
BOL
2 - 1
RPO
56%
23%
22%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2000 |
BLO
2 - 0
BOL
52%
24%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |