Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-1
Real Oviedo vs Michelín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.1%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.8%
5.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1971 |
OVI
1 - 0
UES
62%
24%
14%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
OVI
0 - 0
PUE
64%
23%
13%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1971 |
SDM
1 - 2
OVI
23%
26%
51%
|
67 | 36 | 31 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
BET
1 - 0
OVI
65%
21%
13%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1970 |
OVI
2 - 1
BUR
55%
26%
20%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Michelín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 1971 |
SDM
2 - 1
GDE
48%
24%
28%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1971 |
SDM
1 - 2
PUL
55%
25%
20%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1971 |
SDM
1 - 2
OVI
23%
26%
51%
|
36 | 67 | 31 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 1971 |
EIB
2 - 1
SDM
72%
18%
11%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1970 |
SDM
5 - 1
EJE
76%
15%
9%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |